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How a Space weather event almost took down an Airbus A320, and why parametric Space-Related risk insurance just became Mission-Critical

  • Writer: lior herman
    lior herman
  • 3 days ago
  • 3 min read
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Image Credit: ORBITInsure.space


Published by ORBITInsure™, Space-Related Risk Intelligence for the Real World 

When a JetBlue Airbus A320 suddenly pitched down mid-flight a month ago, injuring passengers and triggering a global recall of nearly 6,000 aircraft, the world got a harsh message:


space weather is not affecting spacecraft only. It’s a systemic operational risk down on earth. 


According to technical findings, a burst of solar energetic particles (SEPs) flipped a single bit inside the aircraft’s Elevator Aileron Computer (ELAC). One cosmic particle, one corrupted memory bit, and 162 lives depended on milliseconds of luck and recovery.


Space weather literally caused an inflight emergency on a commercial airliner. 

The more technology evolves, the more susceptible our lives are to  capricious space weather and solar activity, which means, insurance is not an option , it’s a necessity. 


When the Sun Becomes a Risk Factor 


During the peak of Solar Cycle 25, we are seeing: 

  • X-class solar flares 

  • High-velocity CMEs 

  • Elevated streams of SEPs flooding high-altitude airspace 


At cruising altitudes, aircraft lose up to 70–75% of atmospheric shielding. That means flight-critical electronics suddenly become vulnerable to single-event upsets (SEUs) — random, high-energy particle strikes capable of flipping memory bits, corrupting control logic, or causing sensor drift. 



This is the exact failure mode behind the JetBlue incident, as confirmed in the Sun Diego Space Center technical memorandum “25-11-28 Airbus Incident”. 


Airbus responded with an unprecedented global recall and mandatory software rollbacks across the A320 fleet, an operational and financial shockwave. 


But here is the real implication: Aviation risk is now space risk. 

And it is spreading across industries. 

 

Why This Matters for Insurance, Aviation, and Critical Infrastructure 

This one incident exposes a bigger truth: 


1. Space weather can trigger cascading operational failures 

Not just in aircraft.


Also in: 

  • GNSS-based timing networks (such as irrigation systems) 

  • Power grids 

  • Pay-per-mile policies 

  • Telecom and internet backbones 

  • High-frequency trading 

  • Autonomous vehicles 

  • Aviation software ecosystems 


2. Traditional insurance is not built for space-weather volatility 

SEPs do not care about borders, jurisdiction, or traditional actuarial tables, they strike globally.  

Coverage gaps are enormous. 

But just like atmospheric weather, our prediction capabilities provide intelligence, allowing underwriters and brokers to provide insurance policies for such events. 


3. The next wave of solar events will be more intense 

2025–2026 marks the solar maximum. NOAA and ESA have already issued elevated alerts throughout October. 


The JetBlue A320 was not an outlier; it was the first visible warning. 

 

Where ORBITInsure™ Comes In 

This is exactly the world ORBITInsure™ was founded for. 


We use space-weather intelligence, GNSS disruption modeling, and the Warren™ risk engine to craft parametric insurance products for the new era of space-linked systemic threats. 


Our models integrate: 

✔ Solar energetic particle flux. ✔ CME propagation speed. ✔ Radiation belt activity. ✔ Flight-level radiation forecasting. ✔ GNSS outage risk. ✔ Avionics susceptibility indexes. ✔ Power grid exposure. ✔ Multi-industry dependency mapping 


In other words: we turn cosmic chaos into measurable, insurable events. 


Instead of guessing, we trigger payouts based on hard data

  • SEP flux thresholds 

  • GNSS timing deviation 

  • Solar storm Kp index 

  • Radiation dosage at flight levels 

  • Disruption windows in affected airspace 

Fast. Transparent. No paperwork battles. 

Exactly how insurance is supposed to work in the 21st Century. 

 

The Future of Risk Is Above Us 

The A320 recall signals the start of a new insurance category: 

“Space-Induced Operational Risk".


This is no longer niche or academic or limited to space companies , it’s embedded in aviation, logistics, telecom, finance, power, agriculture, and insurance underwriting. 

ORBITInsure™ is building the infrastructure to protect the global economy from exactly these moments. 


Because in the next decade, the biggest risks will not rise from the ground, they will come from space. 

 

 
 
 
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